Crypto traders risk $1.5M on Bitcoin ETF approval outcome

Approximately $1.5 million in bets were made on a Polygon-based gambling platform predicting the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by January 15.

😱 Crypto Traders Gamble on Bitcoin ETF Approval

The suspense is killing the crypto community as they eagerly await the United States Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision on spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs). But instead of twiddling their thumbs and biting their nails, some clever traders are using this time to make a risky bet on whether these ETF applications will be approved by January 15.

🎰 Enter Polymarket, a gambling site based on the Ethereum-based Polygon network. Traders are flocking to the platform to place their bets on whether the SEC will give the green light to Bitcoin ETFs. And it’s not just a few dollars at stake here. As of now, around $1.5 million worth of bets have been placed, with most traders leaning toward the “Yes” side of the spectrum.

Polymarket Top holders of yes and no bets. Source: Polymarket

💸 So how does this gambling bonanza work? Well, the value of a share on Polymarket represents the odds of a yes or no outcome. Just like the unpredictable crypto market, these share prices are fluctuating constantly. At this moment, a Yes share costs $0.79, while a No share is priced at $0.21. One savvy gambler, known only as “kiwi,” has thrown in a whopping $421,000 on Yes shares. In contrast, the top No holder has only invested a modest $15,000.

🕒 Polymarket has set the deadline for the SEC decision at January 15, 2024, 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time. If any spot Bitcoin ETF is approved by then, the market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, it will settle on “No.” Participants will either celebrate or mourn their earnings or losses by the deadline. The primary source of information for the market resolution will be the SEC, but the platform may also consider a consensus of credible reporting.

Q&A – Reader’s Corner

Q: Why are people gambling on the approval of Bitcoin ETFs? A: Bitcoin ETFs have been a hot topic in the crypto community for a while now. These ETFs would make it easier for mainstream investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly owning the cryptocurrency. If approved, it could lead to a significant influx of institutional money into the crypto market, driving up Bitcoin’s price. So, traders are trying to anticipate the SEC’s decision and profit from it.

Q: Is this type of gambling legal? A: Polymarket operates in a somewhat gray area. While gambling on traditional sporting events is strictly regulated, the rules for prediction markets like Polymarket are not as clear-cut. It is essential to understand the legal implications of participating in such activities in your jurisdiction before getting involved.

Q: Should I join the gambling frenzy? A: That’s entirely up to you! However, it’s crucial to approach gambling with caution. While some traders may strike gold, others will inevitably lose money. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be prepared for the unpredictability of the market.

🙅‍♂️ Not everyone is thrilled about this gambling spectacle. Reddit users, in their usual style, have shared their opinions on the matter. One user described the bets as “putting up dollars to win dimes,” emphasizing the risks involved. Another user humorously claimed they were about to lose their kid’s college fund, while yet another apologized to their “crypto grandkids” for what they were about to do.

It’s clear that the crypto community is divided when it comes to using gambling platforms like Polymarket to predict the outcome of significant events. Whether you see it as a fun and potentially profitable endeavor or a reckless gamble, there’s no denying the buzz surrounding the SEC’s Bitcoin ETF decision.

Stay Informed and Ride the Crypto Wave

If you want to keep up with the latest news and trends in the crypto world or learn how to make the most of your digital assets, be sure to check out the following articles:

  1. Bitcoin Price Pumps Towards $45,000: Will the SEC Approve Multiple BTC ETF Applications?
  2. Trader Hits $2M Jackpot After Putting $62 Into a Solana Memecoin
  3. $10K JPGs’ Scare Away Gamers, Animoca’s Crypto Game Streaming Plans: Web3 Gamer

The Future of Bitcoin ETFs: A Rollercoaster Ride Ahead?

Looking ahead, the SEC’s decision on Bitcoin ETFs will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the crypto market. If approved, it could pave the way for increased mainstream adoption and rally the price of Bitcoin to new heights. However, if the applications are rejected, it may lead to disappointment and short-term price volatility.

For crypto enthusiasts, this presents both opportunities and challenges. If you believe in the potential of Bitcoin, a rejection of the ETFs could be a buying opportunity, as it allows you to accumulate more BTC at lower prices. On the other hand, if the ETFs are approved, we could see a surge in demand and a bullish market trend.

As always, it’s essential to approach investments in cryptocurrencies with caution. Do your research, diversify your portfolio, and consult with a financial advisor if needed. The crypto market is known for its wild swings and sometimes unpredictable nature.

📢 What are your thoughts on this Bitcoin ETF gambling frenzy? Will the SEC approve the applications, or is it all just wishful thinking? Share your opinions and join the conversation! And if you found this article informative and entertaining, don’t forget to share it on your favorite social media platforms.

*Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice.

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